St Kilda v North Melbourne
2024-05-04 16:35:00 +10:00
Docklands

15.13

103

10.5

65

St Kilda won by 38 points

IN

Hayes

King

Wood

Higgins

Cordy

Caminiti

OUT

IN

Pink

Archer

Shiels

Stephenson

Stephens

Phillips

Lazzaro

Nyuon

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		84%	37 points	✓	1.5	0.74
Aggregate		82%	33 points	✓	4.8	0.72
		91%	47 points	✓	8.6	0.86
		90%	39 points	✓	0.7	0.84
		89%	39 points	✓	0.5	0.82
Punters		88%	37 points	✓	1.3	0.81
		87%	38 points	✓	0.0	0.80
		85%	35 points	✓	3.0	0.77
		85%	34 points	✓	4.0	0.77
		85%	31 points	✓	7.1	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	2.8	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	2.0	0.75
		84%	34 points	✓	3.8	0.74
		84%	31 points	✓	6.8	0.74
		83%	45 points	✓	7.0	0.72
		82%	33 points	✓	4.8	0.72
		82%	40 points	✓	2.0	0.71
		82%	28 points	✓	9.9	0.71
		81%	37 points	✓	0.6	0.70
		81%	33 points	✓	5.5	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	9.0	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	7.6	0.69
		81%	36 points	✓	1.9	0.69
		80%	30 points	✓	8.3	0.67
		79%	25 points	✓	13.4	0.66
		79%	40 points	✓	2.0	0.65
		78%	18 points	✓	19.5	0.63
		76%	26 points	✓	12.0	0.60
		75%	28 points	✓	10.0	0.58
		65%	16 points	✓	22.2	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.