Sydney v Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G.
14.14
98
10.9
69
Sydney won by 29 points
IN
Rampe
Campbell
OUT
IN
Greene
Taylor
O'Halloran
Aleer
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 24.9 | 0.12 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 26.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.40 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 20.5 | 0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 22.7 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 20.1 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 24.8 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 25.5 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 24.7 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 25.4 | 0.12 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 26.8 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 27.8 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.