Adelaide v Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
12.6
78
5.18
48
Adelaide won by 30 points
IN
Curtin
Butts
Smith
Pedlar
Hamill
Borlase
OUT
IN
Boak
Burton
Aliir
Powell-Pepper
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.8 | -0.27 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.1 | -0.24 |
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.87 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.9 | -0.82 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.6 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 40.2 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 39.7 | -0.41 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 39.9 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.19 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 36.1 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 31.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 30.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.