Richmond v Fremantle
2024-05-05 13:00:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

6.13

49

15.13

103

Fremantle won by 54 points

IN

Campbell

Sonsie

Short

Graham

Hopper

Naismith

OUT

IN

Chapman

Amiss

Aish

Voss

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	8 points	✓	46.3	0.23
Aggregate		58%	7 points	✓	47.4	0.20
		74%	21 points	✓	33.0	0.57
		68%	12 points	✓	41.6	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	39.0	0.42
		66%	16 points	✓	38.0	0.40
Punters		66%	14 points	✓	39.9	0.40
		64%	10 points	✓	43.9	0.35
		62%	11 points	✓	43.4	0.32
		61%	10 points	✓	44.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	45.1	0.29
		60%	10 points	✓	43.9	0.26
		60%	6 points	✓	47.8	0.26
		60%	7 points	✓	47.5	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	46.9	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	47.0	0.24
		57%	6 points	✓	47.9	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	49.0	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	48.0	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	49.2	0.13
		54%	6 points	✓	48.0	0.12
		53%	2 points	✓	52.0	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	52.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	53.0	0.03
		51%	3 points	✓	51.3	0.02
		51%	1 point	✓	53.5	0.02
		51%	0 points	✗	54.2	-0.03
		51%	1 point	✗	55.0	-0.04
		52%	2 points	✗	56.0	-0.07
		53%	3 points	✗	57.4	-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.