Hawthorn v Sydney
2024-04-28 16:00:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

5.12

42

18.10

118

Sydney won by 76 points

IN

Ramsden

Day

D'Ambrosio

Hustwaite

OUT

IN

McLean

Wicks

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	15 points	✓	61.2	0.39
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	60.5	0.41
		78%	27 points	✓	49.0	0.65
Punters		75%	22 points	✓	53.6	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	55.5	0.56
		73%	19 points	✓	57.4	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	54.0	0.55
		73%	28 points	✓	48.0	0.54
		71%	17 points	✓	58.8	0.51
		71%	22 points	✓	54.0	0.51
		71%	7 points	✓	68.7	0.50
		69%	20 points	✓	56.2	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	60.5	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	60.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	60.0	0.42
		66%	21 points	✓	55.0	0.41
		66%	21 points	✓	55.0	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	59.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	62.3	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	62.2	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	61.9	0.37
		64%	10 points	✓	66.2	0.36
		63%	14 points	✓	61.8	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	63.5	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	64.5	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	65.7	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	66.8	0.28
		57%	6 points	✓	70.0	0.19
		55%	5 points	✓	71.3	0.15
		52%	2 points	✓	73.7	0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.