Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions
2024-04-25 19:35:00 +10:00
Manuka Oval

17.11

113

8.11

59

Greater Western Sydney won by 54 points

IN

Jones

Greene

OUT

IN

Answerth

Fort

McKenna

McInerney

Wilmot

Lyons

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		56%	6 points	✓	47.8	0.17
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	48.1	0.18
		71%	16 points	✓	37.8	0.50
		67%	17 points	✓	37.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	39.2	0.42
		64%	12 points	✓	42.0	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	41.0	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	42.0	0.34
		62%	13 points	✓	41.4	0.31
		60%	8 points	✓	46.0	0.26
		60%	13 points	✓	41.0	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	46.2	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	45.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	47.5	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	47.4	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	49.2	0.19
		56%	4 points	✓	49.7	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	49.2	0.15
		54%	6 points	✓	48.0	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	50.3	0.10
		53%	6 points	✓	48.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	51.0	0.08
		53%	1 point	✓	53.0	0.08
		52%	-5 points	✓	58.5	0.06
		50%	1 point	✗	55.2	0.00
Punters		51%	1 point	✗	55.4	-0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	56.0	-0.06
		53%	2 points	✗	56.5	-0.09
		53%	2 points	✗	56.2	-0.09
		54%	3 points	✗	56.9	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.