North Melbourne v Adelaide
2024-04-27 13:45:00 +10:00
Bellerive Oval

12.9

81

20.18

138

Adelaide won by 57 points

IN

Hardeman

Wardlaw

Ford

Duursma

OUT

IN

Himmelberg

Pedlar

McHenry

Smith

Berry

Gollant

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	29 points	✓	28.4	0.64
Aggregate		76%	25 points	✓	32.2	0.60
		87%	37 points	✓	20.0	0.79
		84%	31 points	✓	26.4	0.75
		83%	28 points	✓	28.9	0.74
		83%	29 points	✓	27.8	0.74
Punters		82%	31 points	✓	26.4	0.71
		81%	33 points	✓	24.0	0.70
		80%	36 points	✓	21.2	0.69
		80%	29 points	✓	28.0	0.68
		79%	21 points	✓	36.1	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	30.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	31.4	0.66
		78%	28 points	✓	29.0	0.65
		78%	30 points	✓	27.0	0.64
		77%	25 points	✓	32.0	0.63
		77%	25 points	✓	32.5	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	32.1	0.61
		75%	23 points	✓	33.6	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	33.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	34.5	0.57
		74%	32 points	✓	25.0	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	36.0	0.55
		72%	19 points	✓	37.5	0.53
		72%	30 points	✓	27.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	37.0	0.52
		68%	17 points	✓	39.7	0.45
		62%	13 points	✓	43.6	0.32
		58%	8 points	✓	48.8	0.22
		55%	5 points	✓	52.0	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.