Richmond v Melbourne
2024-04-24 19:25:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

5.12

42

13.7

85

Melbourne won by 43 points

IN

Naismith

Banks

Hopper

Grimes

Short

Sonsie

Campbell

McAuliffe

OUT

IN

Laurie

Pickett

Salem

Tholstrup

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		75%	25 points	✓	18.4	0.59
Aggregate		74%	23 points	✓	20.1	0.57
		84%	35 points	✓	8.0	0.75
Punters		83%	32 points	✓	11.2	0.73
		81%	27 points	✓	16.5	0.69
		80%	25 points	✓	18.1	0.67
		80%	26 points	✓	16.5	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	15.0	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	14.9	0.65
		78%	23 points	✓	20.5	0.64
		77%	27 points	✓	15.9	0.63
		77%	28 points	✓	15.0	0.62
		76%	26 points	✓	17.4	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	18.3	0.61
		75%	24 points	✓	18.8	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	19.0	0.58
		75%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.58
		75%	17 points	✓	26.0	0.58
		74%	27 points	✓	16.3	0.57
		74%	16 points	✓	27.1	0.56
		74%	30 points	✓	13.0	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	21.7	0.55
		72%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.53
		72%	29 points	✓	14.0	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	24.4	0.52
		68%	17 points	✓	25.8	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	28.0	0.43
		65%	12 points	✓	31.5	0.37
		62%	13 points	✓	30.0	0.31
		56%	6 points	✓	37.3	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.