Port Adelaide v St Kilda
2024-04-26 19:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

11.16

82

11.6

72

Port Adelaide won by 10 points

IN

Williams

Powell-Pepper

Dixon

Burton

Soldo

McEntee

OUT

IN

Hastie

Howard

Butler

Jones

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		74%	23 points	✓	13.5	0.56
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	10.4	0.52
		87%	35 points	✓	25.3	0.79
Punters		81%	26 points	✓	15.6	0.69
		78%	23 points	✓	12.8	0.64
		78%	24 points	✓	13.5	0.64
		77%	25 points	✓	15.0	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	14.5	0.61
		75%	23 points	✓	13.3	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	10.6	0.57
		74%	25 points	✓	15.0	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	12.7	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	12.3	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	10.0	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	10.9	0.53
		72%	15 points	✓	5.0	0.53
		70%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.49
		69%	25 points	✓	15.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	6.8	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	7.6	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	5.3	0.45
		68%	23 points	✓	13.0	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	3.5	0.43
		67%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.42
		67%	18 points	✓	7.5	0.42
		66%	21 points	✓	11.0	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	4.0	0.38
		61%	11 points	✓	1.3	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.