Geelong v Carlton
2024-04-27 16:35:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

18.10

118

15.15

105

Geelong won by 13 points

IN

Guthrie

Stanley

Tuohy

Atkins

Stewart

Guthrie

Conway

Clark

OUT

IN

Binns

Fantasia

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		56%	6 points	✓	6.9	0.17
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	7.8	0.16
		69%	17 points	✓	3.7	0.46
		68%	14 points	✓	0.5	0.43
		64%	12 points	✓	0.7	0.35
		62%	10 points	✓	3.5	0.32
		61%	11 points	✓	2.5	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	3.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	5.0	0.26
		60%	7 points	✓	6.0	0.26
		59%	11 points	✓	2.0	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	6.8	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	7.5	0.19
Punters		57%	5 points	✓	8.1	0.19
		57%	1 point	✓	12.0	0.19
		56%	4 points	✓	9.3	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	7.4	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	9.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	9.3	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	9.6	0.11
		53%	5 points	✓	8.0	0.09
		53%	5 points	✓	8.2	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	11.0	0.08
		52%	5 points	✓	8.0	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	11.6	0.04
		50%	0 points	✗	13.2	-0.00
		50%	2 points	✗	15.3	-0.01
		52%	1 point	✗	14.0	-0.06
		52%	1 point	✗	14.0	-0.06
		54%	3 points	✗	16.4	-0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.