Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
2023-08-06 16:40:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

11.8

74

11.11

77

Brisbane Lions won by 3 points

IN

Cox

Hamling

OUT

IN

Prior

Fort

Bailey

McInerney

Coleman

Lohmann

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	11 points	✓	7.8	0.31
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	8.5	0.32
		75%	23 points	✓	20.2	0.58
		72%	20 points	✓	17.5	0.53
		71%	18 points	✓	15.1	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	15.5	0.50
		70%	21 points	✓	18.0	0.49
		70%	21 points	✓	18.1	0.48
		69%	9 points	✓	6.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	12.0	0.44
		65%	13 points	✓	9.9	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	9.0	0.36
Punters		63%	12 points	✓	9.3	0.33
		61%	10 points	✓	6.7	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	8.4	0.29
		59%	7 points	✓	4.5	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	3.5	0.22
		58%	11 points	✓	8.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	2.9	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	2.0	0.18
		56%	8 points	✓	5.0	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	1.9	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	2.1	0.14
		55%	3 points	✓	0.2	0.13
		54%	11 points	✓	7.9	0.11
		53%	2 points	✓	1.0	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.