Western Bulldogs v Richmond
2023-08-04 19:50:00 +10:00
Docklands

19.12

126

10.11

71

Western Bulldogs won by 55 points

IN

O'Donnell

Jones

West

Richards

Gardner

Keath

Bruce

Cleary

OUT

IN

Bauer

Coulthard

Cumberland

Nankervis

Short

Cotchin

Martin

Grimes

Miller

Mansell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	10 points	✓	45.4	0.27
Aggregate		59%	9 points	✓	46.5	0.25
Punters		69%	15 points	✓	39.5	0.47
		66%	15 points	✓	40.4	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	42.5	0.39
		65%	9 points	✓	45.9	0.37
		65%	13 points	✓	42.0	0.37
		65%	12 points	✓	42.9	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	42.6	0.36
		64%	15 points	✓	40.3	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	41.8	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	43.5	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	44.0	0.33
		62%	9 points	✓	46.5	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	44.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	46.2	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	45.7	0.24
		58%	10 points	✓	45.0	0.21
		57%	1 point	✓	54.0	0.18
		56%	8 points	✓	47.5	0.16
		55%	9 points	✓	46.0	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	50.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	51.0	0.11
		52%	2 points	✓	53.1	0.06
		50%	5 points	✓	50.0	0.00
		53%	3 points	✗	58.0	-0.09
		55%	4 points	✗	59.0	-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.