Essendon v West Coast
2023-08-05 13:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

10.13

73

11.6

72

Essendon won by 1 point

IN

Tsatas

Davey Jnr

OUT

IN

Rotham

Yeo

McGovern

Hurn

Sheed

Bazzo

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		92%	51 points	✓	50.0	0.89
Aggregate		91%	50 points	✓	49.0	0.86
		97%	68 points	✓	67.0	0.96
		97%	61 points	✓	60.0	0.96
		96%	37 points	✓	36.0	0.93
		95%	53 points	✓	51.9	0.93
		95%	52 points	✓	51.2	0.92
Punters		94%	54 points	✓	53.2	0.92
		94%	56 points	✓	55.5	0.92
		94%	57 points	✓	56.5	0.91
		94%	54 points	✓	53.3	0.91
		93%	52 points	✓	50.8	0.89
		92%	48 points	✓	47.0	0.89
		92%	52 points	✓	51.0	0.88
		92%	48 points	✓	46.5	0.87
		91%	48 points	✓	46.8	0.86
		90%	64 points	✓	63.0	0.85
		90%	47 points	✓	46.0	0.85
		89%	36 points	✓	35.3	0.83
		89%	46 points	✓	44.8	0.83
		89%	46 points	✓	45.0	0.83
		88%	46 points	✓	45.3	0.82
		88%	44 points	✓	42.6	0.82
		87%	49 points	✓	47.8	0.81
		86%	35 points	✓	34.4	0.78
		81%	36 points	✓	35.1	0.69
		80%	61 points	✓	60.0	0.68

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.