Hawthorn v Collingwood
M.C.G.
16.9
105
11.7
73
Hawthorn won by 32 points
IN
Blanck
Koschitzke
Reeves
Morrison
Scrimshaw
Frost
Meek
Bramble
Brockman
Mackenzie
OUT
IN
Johnson
Hill
Cox
Markov
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -1.14 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
80% | 31 points | ✗ | 62.6 | -1.33 |
|
|
93% | 28 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -2.92 |
|
|
90% | 48 points | ✗ | 80.0 | -2.30 |
|
|
89% | 41 points | ✗ | 73.2 | -2.14 |
|
|
87% | 39 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -1.94 |
|
|
85% | 36 points | ✗ | 67.8 | -1.78 |
|
|
85% | 38 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -1.77 |
|
|
84% | 37 points | ✗ | 69.4 | -1.67 |
|
|
83% | 40 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -1.57 |
|
|
83% | 30 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -1.52 |
|
Punters
|
|
83% | 33 points | ✗ | 64.7 | -1.52 |
|
|
81% | 34 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
81% | 30 points | ✗ | 61.6 | -1.36 |
|
|
80% | 23 points | ✗ | 54.5 | -1.34 |
|
|
80% | 42 points | ✗ | 74.0 | -1.32 |
|
|
80% | 27 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -1.29 |
|
|
78% | 24 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
78% | 32 points | ✗ | 63.8 | -1.18 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 56.8 | -1.17 |
|
|
77% | 36 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -1.11 |
|
|
77% | 25 points | ✗ | 57.2 | -1.10 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -1.07 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 22 points | ✗ | 53.8 | -0.76 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 49.2 | -0.65 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.60 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.