Geelong v Port Adelaide
2023-08-05 19:25:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

14.13

97

12.13

85

Geelong won by 12 points

IN

Ratugolea

O'Connor

Blicavs

Hawkins

OUT

IN

Lord

Burgoyne

Bonner

Rioli

Jonas

Boak

Finlayson

Dixon

Aliir

Farrell

Bergman

Jones

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		68%	17 points	✓	4.9	0.45
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	3.5	0.43
		79%	26 points	✓	14.0	0.66
		78%	25 points	✓	13.0	0.64
		76%	24 points	✓	12.0	0.60
		75%	8 points	✓	3.9	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	9.6	0.56
Punters		73%	20 points	✓	7.6	0.54
		70%	18 points	✓	6.3	0.49
		69%	13 points	✓	0.5	0.46
		68%	20 points	✓	8.0	0.44
		68%	17 points	✓	5.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	3.9	0.44
		68%	17 points	✓	5.1	0.44
		67%	22 points	✓	10.0	0.42
		66%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	1.3	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	0.2	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	0.5	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.36
		64%	15 points	✓	2.5	0.36
		64%	18 points	✓	6.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	1.8	0.32
		60%	10 points	✓	1.7	0.26
		58%	6 points	✓	5.7	0.21
		56%	10 points	✓	2.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.