North Melbourne v Melbourne
2023-08-06 13:10:00 +10:00
Bellerive Oval

10.11

71

15.13

103

Melbourne won by 32 points

IN

Ziebell

Young

OUT

IN

Smith

Sparrow

Tomlinson

Woewodin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		89%	41 points	✓	9.3	0.83
Aggregate		88%	43 points	✓	11.4	0.82
		97%	76 points	✓	44.0	0.95
		95%	60 points	✓	28.0	0.92
		93%	24 points	✓	8.0	0.90
		93%	61 points	✓	29.3	0.89
		92%	53 points	✓	20.5	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	19.0	0.88
		91%	45 points	✓	13.0	0.86
		91%	43 points	✓	10.8	0.86
		91%	42 points	✓	9.5	0.86
Punters		90%	47 points	✓	15.1	0.85
		89%	44 points	✓	12.3	0.84
		89%	45 points	✓	12.9	0.83
		89%	39 points	✓	7.2	0.83
		89%	39 points	✓	6.7	0.83
		89%	43 points	✓	11.5	0.83
		88%	40 points	✓	8.0	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	10.0	0.81
		87%	54 points	✓	22.0	0.80
		86%	46 points	✓	13.5	0.78
		86%	28 points	✓	3.7	0.78
		84%	31 points	✓	1.0	0.75
		82%	31 points	✓	1.1	0.72
		82%	46 points	✓	14.0	0.71
		78%	31 points	✓	0.6	0.64
		73%	25 points	✓	7.0	0.55

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.