St Kilda v Carlton
2023-08-06 15:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

8.6

54

10.13

73

Carlton won by 19 points

IN

King

Gresham

Hill

Stocker

Jones

Billings

OUT

IN

Dow

Fisher

Cerra

McGovern

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	8 points	✓	11.2	0.23
Aggregate		62%	10 points	✓	8.7	0.31
		82%	30 points	✓	11.3	0.71
		80%	21 points	✓	2.3	0.67
		72%	8 points	✓	10.7	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	0.0	0.51
		70%	24 points	✓	5.0	0.48
		68%	19 points	✓	0.0	0.44
		66%	14 points	✓	5.1	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	3.3	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	8.3	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	8.3	0.32
		63%	10 points	✓	8.8	0.32
		62%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.31
Punters		59%	9 points	✓	9.6	0.24
		58%	6 points	✓	13.5	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	13.0	0.20
		57%	1 point	✓	18.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	12.0	0.19
		56%	4 points	✓	14.6	0.15
		55%	5 points	✓	14.0	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	14.9	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	15.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	14.8	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	15.0	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	16.0	0.10
		50%	0 points	✓	18.9	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.