Adelaide v Gold Coast
2023-08-05 14:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

13.11

89

9.7

61

Adelaide won by 28 points

IN

Borlase

Rachele

Butts

Pedlar

OUT

IN

Farrar

Miller

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.50
Aggregate		70%	18 points	✓	10.1	0.48
		78%	26 points	✓	2.1	0.65
		78%	27 points	✓	1.3	0.65
		77%	8 points	✓	20.0	0.63
		77%	30 points	✓	2.0	0.62
		77%	23 points	✓	5.1	0.62
		76%	22 points	✓	5.7	0.60
		76%	22 points	✓	5.7	0.60
Punters		76%	23 points	✓	5.2	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	3.0	0.58
		72%	20 points	✓	7.7	0.53
		72%	15 points	✓	12.8	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	9.5	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	12.5	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.44
		67%	22 points	✓	6.0	0.42
		66%	16 points	✓	12.5	0.41
		65%	20 points	✓	8.0	0.38
		65%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.38
		63%	14 points	✓	14.4	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	16.5	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	17.8	0.33
		61%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	18.6	0.28
		58%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.