Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda
2023-05-21 16:40:00 +10:00
Sydney Showground

12.8

80

13.14

92

St Kilda won by 12 points

IN

Briggs

Riccardi

Greene

Flynn

Lloyd

Brown

OUT

IN

Webster

Gresham

King

Membrey

Paton

Sharman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	7 points	✓	4.8	0.22
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.25
		73%	22 points	✓	9.8	0.55
		67%	15 points	✓	3.0	0.41
		65%	15 points	✓	3.5	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	0.3	0.37
		65%	12 points	✓	0.0	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	0.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	1.4	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	1.5	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.31
		62%	15 points	✓	2.7	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	1.3	0.29
		60%	10 points	✓	2.0	0.25
Punters		59%	8 points	✓	4.0	0.23
		58%	9 points	✓	3.5	0.22
		58%	9 points	✓	3.4	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	5.3	0.21
		57%	7 points	✓	5.0	0.19
		55%	7 points	✓	5.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	8.0	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	9.2	0.10
		54%	5 points	✓	7.0	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	10.2	0.07
		51%	1 point	✓	11.2	0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	14.0	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.