Western Bulldogs v Adelaide
2023-05-20 14:10:00 +10:00
Eureka Stadium

11.19

85

5.10

40

Western Bulldogs won by 45 points

IN

O'Brien

Keath

OUT

IN

Gollant

Himmelberg

Murray

Walker

Doedee

Thilthorpe

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	9 points	✓	36.1	0.27
Aggregate		61%	11 points	✓	34.2	0.30
		73%	22 points	✓	23.0	0.55
		70%	16 points	✓	29.0	0.49
		70%	20 points	✓	25.0	0.48
		67%	15 points	✓	30.4	0.41
		66%	12 points	✓	32.5	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	32.1	0.39
		66%	13 points	✓	32.5	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	26.0	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	30.0	0.38
Punters		65%	11 points	✓	33.6	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	31.0	0.37
		63%	11 points	✓	34.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	35.0	0.32
		61%	10 points	✓	35.5	0.28
		60%	11 points	✓	33.7	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	37.3	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	36.0	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	37.8	0.21
		58%	8 points	✓	37.4	0.20
		57%	10 points	✓	35.0	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	40.2	0.16
		54%	3 points	✓	42.0	0.11
		54%	7 points	✓	38.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	41.8	0.09
		53%	2 points	✗	47.0	-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.