Port Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
11.14
80
11.10
76
Port Adelaide won by 4 points
IN
Lycett
Byrne-Jones
Marshall
Teakle
OUT
IN
Salem
McDonald
Sparrow
Petty
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.9 | -0.03 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.48 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.31 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 4.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | -3 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.22 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.