Fremantle v Geelong
Perth Stadium
16.10
106
11.11
77
Fremantle won by 29 points
IN
Fyfe
Erasmus
OUT
IN
Henry
Stengle
Close
Duncan
Henry
Dempsey
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.45 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.41 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 48.3 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.76 |
|
|
71% | 17 points | ✗ | 45.7 | -0.76 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 42.9 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 44.6 | -0.57 |
|
|
65% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 41.1 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 32 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.3 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.1 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 36.1 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 33.6 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.