Essendon v Richmond
M.C.G.
10.11
71
10.10
70
Essendon won by 1 point
IN
Davey Jnr
Snelling
Ridley
Shiel
Setterfield
D'Ambrosio
OUT
IN
Dow
Nankervis
Hopper
Miller
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.27 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.9 | -0.25 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.7 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.44 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.38 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 30 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 5.8 | -0.22 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.1 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 1.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 1.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.