Carlton v Collingwood
2023-05-21 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

7.15

57

13.7

85

Collingwood won by 28 points

IN

Boyd

Curnow

Hewett

Cincotta

OUT

IN

Cameron

Ginnivan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	10 points	✓	18.0	0.28
Aggregate		65%	15 points	✓	13.1	0.37
		78%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.63
		77%	24 points	✓	3.5	0.63
		77%	53 points	✓	25.0	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	3.6	0.60
		73%	23 points	✓	4.6	0.54
		70%	13 points	✓	14.8	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.49
		69%	20 points	✓	8.1	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.44
		66%	14 points	✓	14.1	0.40
		65%	11 points	✓	16.6	0.38
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	14.6	0.37
		63%	13 points	✓	15.4	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	17.5	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	17.9	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	18.0	0.30
		61%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.29
		61%	13 points	✓	15.0	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	19.0	0.28
		57%	6 points	✓	22.3	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	22.3	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.19
		55%	5 points	✓	22.7	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	24.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	24.0	0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.