Hawthorn v West Coast
2023-05-21 13:10:00 +10:00
York Park

22.10

142

4.2

26

Hawthorn won by 116 points

IN

Brockman

Bramble

Reeves

Morrison

Jiath

Wingard

OUT

IN

Chesser

Bazzo

Long

Barrass

Darling

Clark

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	21 points	✓	94.8	0.53
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	96.2	0.51
		84%	35 points	✓	80.5	0.75
		84%	32 points	✓	83.8	0.75
		82%	32 points	✓	84.2	0.72
		80%	26 points	✓	90.0	0.68
		79%	26 points	✓	89.9	0.65
Punters		79%	27 points	✓	89.5	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	90.8	0.65
		76%	35 points	✓	81.0	0.61
		76%	2 points	✓	114.0	0.60
		73%	22 points	✓	94.0	0.54
		72%	28 points	✓	88.0	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	95.6	0.51
		70%	22 points	✓	94.0	0.49
		69%	18 points	✓	98.0	0.46
		67%	15 points	✓	101.0	0.43
		67%	22 points	✓	94.0	0.42
		67%	17 points	✓	99.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	101.2	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	101.9	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	102.5	0.39
		64%	9 points	✓	107.1	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	101.7	0.35
		60%	8 points	✓	107.7	0.27
		59%	9 points	✓	107.0	0.24
		57%	7 points	✓	108.9	0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.