Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast
2023-05-20 19:30:00 +10:00
Gabba

16.11

107

9.10

64

Brisbane Lions won by 43 points

IN

Casboult

Ainsworth

Holman

Chol

Oea

Berry

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	21 points	✓	21.6	0.53
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	22.6	0.52
		82%	33 points	✓	10.0	0.71
		82%	29 points	✓	13.8	0.71
		82%	32 points	✓	11.4	0.71
		80%	30 points	✓	13.5	0.69
		80%	28 points	✓	15.3	0.69
		79%	29 points	✓	13.9	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	16.5	0.65
Punters		78%	25 points	✓	18.1	0.64
		76%	23 points	✓	19.9	0.60
		74%	21 points	✓	21.6	0.57
		73%	9 points	✓	34.0	0.54
		71%	23 points	✓	19.9	0.51
		71%	24 points	✓	19.2	0.51
		70%	18 points	✓	25.4	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	26.0	0.47
		69%	25 points	✓	18.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	25.0	0.46
		66%	13 points	✓	30.0	0.40
		65%	20 points	✓	23.0	0.39
		65%	9 points	✓	33.6	0.37
		64%	19 points	✓	24.0	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	29.8	0.35
		63%	14 points	✓	29.5	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	32.8	0.33
		53%	2 points	✓	41.0	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.