Collingwood v Essendon
2023-04-25 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

13.12

90

11.11

77

Collingwood won by 13 points

IN

Kreuger

Ruscoe

De Goey

Adams

McStay

Murphy

OUT

IN

Davey Jnr

Weideman

Merrett

Jones

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	13 points	✓	0.4	0.37
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	0.2	0.36
		77%	27 points	✓	14.0	0.62
		72%	22 points	✓	8.7	0.53
		69%	17 points	✓	4.3	0.47
		69%	19 points	✓	6.0	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	2.5	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	1.6	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	1.2	0.42
		67%	10 points	✓	3.0	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	0.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	0.6	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	0.0	0.39
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	0.3	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	0.3	0.38
		65%	20 points	✓	7.0	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	0.5	0.37
		63%	17 points	✓	4.0	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	2.9	0.33
		61%	12 points	✓	1.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	4.3	0.26
		59%	6 points	✓	6.6	0.24
		59%	12 points	✓	1.0	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	4.9	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	7.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	7.2	0.18
		57%	7 points	✓	6.3	0.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.