Melbourne v Richmond
2023-04-24 19:25:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

15.6

96

11.12

78

Melbourne won by 18 points

IN

Hibberd

Jordon

Lever

Gawn

McDonald

Spargo

Melksham

Tomlinson

OUT

IN

Rioli

Short

Ralphsmith

Sonsie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	16 points	✓	2.1	0.42
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	3.8	0.39
Punters		77%	24 points	✓	6.3	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	5.2	0.61
		74%	21 points	✓	2.5	0.56
		73%	19 points	✓	1.4	0.54
		70%	26 points	✓	8.0	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	0.3	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	1.3	0.47
		68%	17 points	✓	1.1	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	2.0	0.43
		66%	15 points	✓	3.1	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	5.3	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	4.1	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	5.5	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	6.5	0.37
		63%	5 points	✓	13.0	0.33
		63%	17 points	✓	1.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	7.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	4.6	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	7.0	0.32
		62%	13 points	✓	5.3	0.32
		60%	7 points	✓	11.1	0.26
		58%	7 points	✓	11.0	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	10.0	0.21
		57%	9 points	✓	9.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	11.0	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.