Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions
2023-04-22 16:35:00 +10:00
Manuka Oval

13.9

87

16.12

108

Brisbane Lions won by 21 points

IN

Angwin

Rowston

Daniels

Perryman

Green

Lloyd

Kennedy

Hamilton

OUT

IN

Gunston

Fort

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	15 points	✓	5.6	0.42
Aggregate		67%	16 points	✓	5.3	0.42
		76%	26 points	✓	4.8	0.61
		76%	23 points	✓	2.1	0.60
		74%	21 points	✓	0.3	0.56
		73%	15 points	✓	6.0	0.55
		72%	21 points	✓	0.0	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	1.5	0.52
		71%	18 points	✓	3.0	0.51
Punters		71%	20 points	✓	1.4	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	2.4	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	3.6	0.50
		69%	26 points	✓	5.0	0.46
		69%	20 points	✓	1.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	4.5	0.46
		69%	15 points	✓	5.6	0.46
		66%	14 points	✓	7.0	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.37
		65%	13 points	✓	8.5	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	5.9	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	9.0	0.36
		62%	10 points	✓	11.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	12.3	0.29
		59%	8 points	✓	13.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	14.0	0.24
		56%	6 points	✓	15.0	0.16
		53%	2 points	✓	19.0	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.