Carlton v St Kilda
Docklands
8.12
60
12.10
82
St Kilda won by 22 points
IN
Cincotta
Honey
McGovern
Saad
De Koning
Plowman
OUT
IN
Membrey
Steele
Windhager
Caminiti
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.19 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 16.3 | 0.17 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.53 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.46 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.37 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.34 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✓ | 13.9 | 0.31 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.30 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 17.6 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 17.6 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 17.8 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.3 | 0.10 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
50% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.11 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.