Hawthorn v Adelaide
2023-04-23 13:10:00 +10:00
York Park

11.10

76

11.13

79

Adelaide won by 3 points

IN

Mackenzie

Lynch

Ward

Meek

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	19 points	✓	16.4	0.51
Aggregate		65%	15 points	✓	11.6	0.38
		77%	26 points	✓	22.8	0.62
		76%	22 points	✓	19.1	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	20.2	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	21.7	0.59
Punters		75%	24 points	✓	21.3	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	17.9	0.57
		73%	19 points	✓	16.0	0.55
		72%	23 points	✓	20.0	0.53
		70%	21 points	✓	18.3	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	13.8	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	13.0	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	12.0	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	11.2	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	10.7	0.41
		64%	11 points	✓	8.2	0.35
		62%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	6.5	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	5.3	0.27
		59%	9 points	✓	6.1	0.24
		57%	6 points	✓	2.7	0.18
		55%	3 points	✓	0.4	0.14
		55%	7 points	✓	4.0	0.13
		54%	12 points	✓	9.0	0.10
		50%	0 points	✓	3.0	0.01
		50%	5 points	✓	2.0	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.