Geelong v Sydney
Saturday 22 April 2023 at 9:25 am UTC
Kardinia Park

20.10

130

5.7

37

Geelong won by 93 points

Geelong
64%

IN

Simpson

Rohan

Stanley

Stengle

OUT

IN

Francis

Clarke

Amartey

Warner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	13 points	✓	80.1	0.36
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	80.6	0.36
		80%	26 points	✓	67.4	0.67
		77%	23 points	✓	70.0	0.62
		73%	21 points	✓	71.7	0.54
		70%	18 points	✓	75.4	0.49
Punters		70%	16 points	✓	76.7	0.48
		68%	16 points	✓	76.8	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	77.7	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	78.5	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	77.4	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	77.3	0.44
		66%	1 point	✓	92.0	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	77.0	0.38
		64%	14 points	✓	79.0	0.36
		63%	18 points	✓	75.0	0.33
		63%	17 points	✓	76.0	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	82.5	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	84.5	0.28
		59%	8 points	✓	84.7	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	84.1	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	86.0	0.23
		58%	10 points	✓	83.0	0.20
		55%	5 points	✓	88.4	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	90.2	0.12
		52%	2 points	✓	90.9	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	92.0	0.02

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.