Gold Coast v North Melbourne
2023-04-23 16:40:00 +10:00
Carrara

14.13

97

7.12

54

Gold Coast won by 43 points

IN

Casboult

Witts

Moyle

Humphrey

OUT

IN

Curtis

Hall

Simpkin

Shiels

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		79%	28 points	✓	14.9	0.66
Aggregate		80%	30 points	✓	13.3	0.67
		89%	44 points	✓	1.0	0.83
		87%	35 points	✓	8.0	0.80
		86%	21 points	✓	22.0	0.79
		85%	33 points	✓	10.2	0.76
		83%	35 points	✓	8.0	0.73
		83%	33 points	✓	10.1	0.72
		82%	45 points	✓	2.0	0.72
		82%	30 points	✓	13.0	0.71
		81%	27 points	✓	16.3	0.70
		81%	32 points	✓	11.4	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	12.8	0.70
Punters		81%	27 points	✓	15.6	0.69
		80%	32 points	✓	11.3	0.69
		80%	45 points	✓	2.0	0.68
		79%	25 points	✓	18.2	0.67
		79%	25 points	✓	18.0	0.66
		79%	27 points	✓	16.0	0.66
		78%	32 points	✓	11.1	0.64
		78%	28 points	✓	14.9	0.64
		77%	24 points	✓	19.1	0.63
		77%	30 points	✓	13.0	0.62
		75%	23 points	✓	19.9	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	21.5	0.56
		71%	26 points	✓	17.0	0.51
		62%	12 points	✓	30.8	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.