Fremantle v Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium
10.9
69
17.16
118
Western Bulldogs won by 49 points
IN
Brodie
Switkowski
OUT
IN
McLean
Keath
Hannan
Bruce
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 52.7 | -0.12 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 53.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 60.8 | -0.55 |
|
|
66% | 1 point | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.54 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 59.2 | -0.48 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 60.7 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 58.2 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 54.6 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.2 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.2 | -0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 52.2 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 50.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 50.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 49.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | -1 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 51.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 46.6 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.