Melbourne v Sydney
M.C.G.
21.8
134
12.12
84
Melbourne won by 50 points
IN
van Rooyen
Hibberd
Jordon
May
Gawn
Harmes
McDonald
Tomlinson
OUT
IN
Franklin
McLean
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.4 | 0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 36.5 | 0.34 |
|
|
60% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 43.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 43.5 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.22 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 45.7 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 45.8 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 47.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 48.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.3 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 52.9 | -0.08 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 54.2 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.