Greater Western Sydney v Carlton
2023-04-01 16:35:00 +11:00
Sydney Showground

9.10

64

9.20

74

Carlton won by 10 points

IN

Whitfield

Kelly

Kennedy

Wehr

OUT

IN

Hewett

Kennedy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	8 points	✓	2.5	0.22
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	1.6	0.24
		75%	22 points	✓	11.7	0.58
		72%	20 points	✓	10.0	0.53
		68%	16 points	✓	5.9	0.44
		65%	13 points	✓	2.9	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.36
		62%	12 points	✓	1.7	0.31
		62%	8 points	✓	1.8	0.30
Punters		61%	9 points	✓	0.7	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	0.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	0.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	1.3	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	2.4	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	0.5	0.24
		58%	9 points	✓	1.5	0.22
		58%	10 points	✓	0.0	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	3.4	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	4.0	0.19
		55%	4 points	✓	5.9	0.14
		54%	3 points	✓	7.2	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	6.0	0.11
		54%	4 points	✓	6.5	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	7.7	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	8.9	0.04
		50%	6 points	✓	4.0	0.00
		52%	1 point	✗	11.0	-0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.