Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
10.7
67
7.11
53
Western Bulldogs won by 14 points
IN
Jones
Johannisen
Lobb
Treloar
Duryea
West
McLean
Darcy
OUT
IN
Coleman
Rich
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.04 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.05 |
|
|
50% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.08 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.31 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 25.3 | -0.46 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.