Collingwood v Richmond
M.C.G.
8.15
63
7.7
49
Collingwood won by 14 points
IN
Johnson
Cox
OUT
IN
Clarke
Mansell
Ralphsmith
Ross
Short
Martin
Hopper
Broad
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.28 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.20 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.57 |
|
Punters
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.47 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.42 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.42 |
|
|
65% | 20 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.36 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
50% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.