Hawthorn v North Melbourne
2023-04-01 13:45:00 +11:00
York Park

11.14

80

9.7

61

Hawthorn won by 19 points

IN

Brockman

Morrison

Scrimshaw

Koschitzke

Bramble

Blanck

OUT

IN

Phillips

Howe

Davies-Uniacke

Simpkin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	9 points	✓	10.4	0.26
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.32
		86%	36 points	✓	16.7	0.78
		78%	18 points	✓	1.0	0.64
		76%	36 points	✓	17.0	0.60
		73%	21 points	✓	2.0	0.55
		70%	25 points	✓	6.0	0.48
		68%	18 points	✓	1.0	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	4.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.43
		65%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	6.4	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	4.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	8.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	8.1	0.33
		63%	14 points	✓	5.1	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	8.9	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	8.5	0.30
		60%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	10.9	0.25
		58%	8 points	✓	10.7	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	10.6	0.22
		55%	5 points	✓	13.9	0.14
		52%	1 point	✓	17.8	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	18.1	0.04
Punters		59%	8 points	✗	27.4	-0.28
		62%	12 points	✗	31.0	-0.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.