Gold Coast v Geelong

Carrara
10.13
73
7.12
54

Gold Coast won by 19 points

IN
Oea
Farrar
Powell
Fiorini
Constable
Uwland
OUT
IN
Ceglar
Stewart
Stanley
Rohan
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
s10
Geelong
68% 17 points ✗35.9-0.65
Aggregate
Geelong
69% 18 points ✗36.8-0.68
Data by Josh
Geelong
84% 31 points ✗50.0-1.64
The Flag
Geelong
82% 30 points ✗49.0-1.45
The Wooden Finger
Geelong
79% 29 points ✗48.0-1.25
Stattraction
Geelong
74% 22 points ✗40.6-0.94
Drop Kick Data
Geelong
74% 22 points ✗41.2-0.93
Massey Ratings
Geelong
72% 22 points ✗40.5-0.81
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
70% 18 points ✗37.0-0.74
Punters
Geelong
70% 17 points ✗36.1-0.74
FMI
Geelong
70% 27 points ✗46.0-0.74
Hyperion
Geelong
70% 18 points ✗37.0-0.72
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
70% 17 points ✗35.6-0.72
Matter of Stats
Geelong
69% 17 points ✗36.0-0.71
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
69% 16 points ✗35.1-0.69
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
69% 21 points ✗40.0-0.69
Squiggle
Geelong
67% 16 points ✗35.0-0.59
AFL Lab
Geelong
66% 16 points ✗35.4-0.56
Live Ladders
Geelong
66% 13 points ✗32.0-0.54
The Cruncher
Geelong
65% 12 points ✗30.9-0.52
Cheap Stats
Geelong
65% 15 points ✗34.0-0.51
Don't Blame the Data
Geelong
65% 10 points ✗28.9-0.51
The Footycast
Geelong
63% 13 points ✗32.0-0.42
AFLalytics
Geelong
62% 10 points ✗29.1-0.38
Graft
Geelong
61% 14 points ✗33.0-0.36
ZaphBot
Geelong
61% 11 points ✗30.0-0.36
PlusSixOne
Geelong
59% 9 points ✗27.7-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 3, 2023