Gold Coast v Geelong

Carrara
10.13
73
7.12
54

Gold Coast won by 19 points

IN
Oea
Farrar
Powell
Fiorini
Constable
Uwland
OUT
IN
Ceglar
Stewart
Stanley
Rohan
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Geelong
68% 17 points 35.9-0.65
Aggregate
Geelong
69% 18 points 36.8-0.68
Data by Josh
Geelong
84% 31 points 50.0-1.64
The Flag
Geelong
82% 30 points 49.0-1.45
The Wooden Finger
Geelong
79% 29 points 48.0-1.25
Stattraction
Geelong
74% 22 points 40.6-0.94
Drop Kick Data
Geelong
74% 22 points 41.2-0.93
Massey Ratings
Geelong
72% 22 points 40.5-0.81
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
70% 18 points 37.0-0.74
Punters
Geelong
70% 17 points 36.1-0.74
FMI
Geelong
70% 27 points 46.0-0.74
Hyperion
Geelong
70% 18 points 37.0-0.72
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
70% 17 points 35.6-0.72
Matter of Stats
Geelong
69% 17 points 36.0-0.71
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
69% 16 points 35.1-0.69
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
69% 21 points 40.0-0.69
Squiggle
Geelong
67% 16 points 35.0-0.59
AFL Lab
Geelong
66% 16 points 35.4-0.56
Live Ladders
Geelong
66% 13 points 32.0-0.54
The Cruncher
Geelong
65% 12 points 30.9-0.52
Cheap Stats
Geelong
65% 15 points 34.0-0.51
Don't Blame the Data
Geelong
65% 10 points 28.9-0.51
The Footycast
Geelong
63% 13 points 32.0-0.42
AFLalytics
Geelong
62% 10 points 29.1-0.38
Graft
Geelong
61% 14 points 33.0-0.36
ZaphBot
Geelong
61% 11 points 30.0-0.36
PlusSixOne
Geelong
59% 9 points 27.7-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 3, 2023