Port Adelaide v Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
13.8
86
18.9
117
Adelaide won by 31 points
IN
Clurey
Bonner
Finlayson
Boak
Burton
Georgiades
Fantasia
Burgoyne
OUT
IN
Gollant
Milera
Thilthorpe
Butts
Fogarty
Schoenberg
Himmelberg
Parnell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 51.6 | -0.80 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
72% | 22 points | ✗ | 52.5 | -0.86 |
|
|
84% | 34 points | ✗ | 64.7 | -1.67 |
|
|
83% | 34 points | ✗ | 65.2 | -1.56 |
|
|
82% | 33 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -1.44 |
|
|
81% | 32 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
80% | 27 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -1.32 |
|
|
80% | 22 points | ✗ | 52.9 | -1.32 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -1.03 |
|
|
74% | 16 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.95 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.92 |
|
Punters
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 49.7 | -0.85 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 29 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 52.1 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 50.6 | -0.83 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 22 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -0.77 |
|
|
70% | 25 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.72 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.71 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 45.7 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 44.2 | -0.58 |
|
|
64% | 19 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 43.8 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 43.2 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.