St Kilda v Essendon
M.C.G.
14.8
92
11.8
74
St Kilda won by 18 points
IN
Windhager
Webster
Steele
Paton
OUT
IN
Weideman
Stringer
Zerk-Thatcher
Phillips
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.4 | 0.07 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.35 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.22 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.2 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.06 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.7 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.13 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.33 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -0.36 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.56 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.