Essendon v Gold Coast
2023-03-26 15:20:00 +11:00
Docklands

16.12

108

11.14

80

Essendon won by 28 points

IN

D'Ambrosio

Weideman

OUT

IN

Rosas

Fiorini

Weller

Chol

Farrar

Davies

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	14 points	✓	13.5	0.39
Aggregate		63%	11 points	✓	16.5	0.33
		76%	22 points	✓	6.0	0.60
		70%	17 points	✓	10.8	0.49
		69%	13 points	✓	15.3	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.45
		67%	16 points	✓	12.1	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	13.1	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	14.5	0.39
		65%	1 point	✓	27.0	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	15.9	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.35
Punters		64%	11 points	✓	17.5	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	16.5	0.34
		63%	14 points	✓	14.5	0.34
		62%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.30
		61%	12 points	✓	16.5	0.29
		61%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.29
		61%	12 points	✓	15.7	0.28
		58%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	21.1	0.22
		57%	9 points	✓	19.0	0.19
		55%	4 points	✓	23.6	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	24.0	0.11
		53%	2 points	✓	25.7	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.