Western Bulldogs v St Kilda
Docklands
5.11
41
14.8
92
St Kilda won by 51 points
IN
McLean
Crozier
West
Garcia
Treloar
Lobb
Johannisen
Hannan
OUT
IN
Paton
Ross
Webster
Bytel
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 58.8 | -0.27 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 57.3 | -0.21 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 69.8 | -0.78 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.74 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 63.3 | -0.56 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 62.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 61.8 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 56.8 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 58.3 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 55.8 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 52.3 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 51.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 51.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 49.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 49.3 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 49.3 | 0.07 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 44.7 | 0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.