Sydney v Hawthorn
2023-03-26 13:10:00 +11:00
S.C.G.

17.16

118

4.13

37

Sydney won by 81 points

IN

Amartey

Franklin

OUT

IN

Nash

Wingard

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		83%	35 points	✓	45.7	0.73
Aggregate		84%	36 points	✓	44.8	0.74
		94%	41 points	✓	39.6	0.92
		92%	53 points	✓	28.0	0.88
		91%	42 points	✓	39.0	0.86
Punters		91%	42 points	✓	39.1	0.86
		91%	32 points	✓	49.0	0.86
		89%	45 points	✓	36.0	0.83
		87%	38 points	✓	42.9	0.79
		86%	36 points	✓	44.6	0.79
		86%	36 points	✓	45.3	0.78
		85%	39 points	✓	42.0	0.77
		85%	34 points	✓	47.0	0.76
		84%	32 points	✓	48.8	0.75
		84%	42 points	✓	39.0	0.75
		83%	34 points	✓	47.4	0.74
		83%	46 points	✓	35.0	0.72
		83%	39 points	✓	41.7	0.72
		82%	32 points	✓	48.5	0.72
		81%	32 points	✓	49.2	0.69
		80%	49 points	✓	32.0	0.68
		80%	30 points	✓	51.5	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	52.5	0.66
		76%	25 points	✓	56.2	0.60
		75%	30 points	✓	50.7	0.59
		74%	27 points	✓	54.3	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	59.4	0.56

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.