Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
Gabba
14.9
93
13.4
82
Brisbane Lions won by 11 points
IN
Joyce
Fort
Zorko
Coleman
Robertson
Tunstill
OUT
IN
Fritsch
Viney
Pickett
Laurie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.17 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.12 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.1 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.14 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.