Adelaide v Richmond
2023-03-25 16:35:00 +11:00
Adelaide Oval

10.16

76

17.6

108

Richmond won by 32 points

IN

Parnell

Sholl

Murphy

Butts

McAdam

Milera

OUT

IN

Ryan

Young

Miller

Mansell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	8 points	✓	23.5	0.25
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	19.6	0.33
		77%	19 points	✓	12.9	0.62
		74%	22 points	✓	10.0	0.57
		73%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	12.1	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	12.0	0.51
		70%	17 points	✓	14.8	0.49
		69%	16 points	✓	16.2	0.46
		66%	21 points	✓	11.0	0.40
		65%	24 points	✓	8.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	17.8	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	20.3	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	19.5	0.32
		62%	15 points	✓	17.0	0.30
Punters		61%	11 points	✓	21.5	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	22.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	22.7	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	22.0	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	24.9	0.25
		58%	7 points	✓	25.2	0.22
		55%	4 points	✓	27.7	0.13
		53%	2 points	✓	29.7	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	29.7	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	30.5	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	30.7	0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.