Collingwood v Port Adelaide
2023-03-25 13:45:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

21.9

135

9.10

64

Collingwood won by 71 points

IN

Frampton

Howe

OUT

IN

Burgoyne

McKenzie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		57%	7 points	✓	64.4	0.19
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	65.8	0.16
		70%	19 points	✓	52.0	0.49
		68%	16 points	✓	55.1	0.45
		64%	1 point	✓	70.0	0.35
Punters		63%	10 points	✓	61.2	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	58.9	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	60.5	0.31
		62%	8 points	✓	63.2	0.31
		61%	15 points	✓	56.0	0.29
		59%	8 points	✓	63.4	0.25
		57%	6 points	✓	65.0	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	65.1	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	64.9	0.16
		56%	6 points	✓	65.3	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	66.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	67.0	0.14
		54%	3 points	✓	67.7	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	67.8	0.10
		52%	3 points	✓	68.0	0.05
		50%	4 points	✓	67.0	0.00
		51%	2 points	✗	72.5	-0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	72.0	-0.03
		52%	1 point	✗	72.2	-0.05
		52%	1 point	✗	72.0	-0.06
		54%	3 points	✗	74.4	-0.13
		58%	6 points	✗	77.2	-0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.