St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium
17.14
116
14.5
89
Match complete
St Kilda won by 27 points
IN
Langlands
Parker
McKenzie
Long
OUT
IN
Dale
Liberatore
Daniel
McLean
Richards
Williams
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 14 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.52 | |
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.00 | ||
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.89 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.86 | ||
70% | 25 points | ✗ | 52.5 | -0.74 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 45.2 | -0.73 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.65 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.62 | ||
Punters | 65% | 14 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -0.53 | |
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.52 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.51 | ||
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.43 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.39 | ||
62% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.39 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.29 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.15 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.