Greater Western Sydney v Collingwood

Sydney Showground

122

75

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 47 points

IN
Stein
Keeffe
Finlayson
Mumford
Coniglio
Davis
Kennedy
Buntine
OUT
IN
Appleby
Varcoe
Howe
Adams
Moore
Greenwood
Elliott
Noble
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
55% 5 points 42.00.15
AFL Lab
Greater Western Sydney
67% 12 points 35.00.42
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
62% 11 points 36.00.31
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
62% 16 points 31.00.31
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
60% 9 points 38.00.27
Stattraction
Greater Western Sydney
59% 8 points 39.00.23
HPN
Greater Western Sydney
58% 7 points 40.50.20
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
57% 7 points 39.70.19
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
57% 6 points 41.00.19
Fat Stats
Greater Western Sydney
57% 8 points 38.50.19
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
55% 4 points 42.90.14
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 45.00.06
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 45.00.05
AFL Gains
Greater Western Sydney
51% 1 point 46.40.02
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
53% 3 points 50.3-0.10
Punters
Collingwood
54% 4 points 50.8-0.12
AFLalytics
Collingwood
56% 6 points 52.5-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2019