Greater Western Sydney v Collingwood
2019-07-20 16:35:00
Sydney Showground

19.8

122

11.9

75

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 47 points

IN

Stein

Keeffe

Finlayson

Mumford

Coniglio

Davis

Kennedy

Buntine

OUT

IN

Appleby

Varcoe

Howe

Adams

Moore

Greenwood

Elliott

Noble

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		55%	5 points	✓	42.0	0.15
		67%	12 points	✓	35.0	0.42
		62%	11 points	✓	36.0	0.31
		62%	16 points	✓	31.0	0.31
		60%	9 points	✓	38.0	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	39.0	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	40.5	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	39.7	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	41.0	0.19
		57%	8 points	✓	38.5	0.19
		55%	4 points	✓	42.9	0.14
		52%	2 points	✓	45.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	45.0	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	46.4	0.02
		53%	3 points	✗	50.3	-0.10
Punters		54%	4 points	✗	50.8	-0.12
		56%	6 points	✗	52.5	-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.